FLASH CABLE

FLASH CABLE

Fitz here. In the diplomatic and intelligence services, official information is still delivered by Cable.  In today’s modern world the cable is a still the most secure means of communication between personnel in the field, usually diplomats and embassy staff,  but also spies and covert operatives and headquarters. The diplomatic corps is still very formal, stuffy and filled with academics without enough personality to occupy the attention of students for thirty minutes and language majors who didn’t want to rough it with the Peace Corps.  The cardinal rule amongst Foreign Service Officers is never cause a stir and always follow proper protocol and procedure.  One of the places where protocol and procedure are of the utmost importance is in the Lotus Notes based (yes they still use Lotus Notes in 2009!) encrypted cable transmissions system called Cable Express.  There are many bureaucratic fields that need to be filled out just to send a cable.  Each field has its own protocol. God forbid you fail to properly identify the right action officer in the “Slug line” or not indicate the proper approving official.   They take these things seriously, however, nothing in cable traffic is taken as seriously as the Precedence which determines how fast a cable is to be transmitted and what happens when it arrives.

Diplomatic Cable Order of Precedence (US Department of State Foreign Affairs Correspondence Handbook Vol 5 )

Routine: A precedence designator used for all telegrams not sufficiently urgent to justify a higher precedence designator (we are not making this up)

Priority: A precedence designator used for messages requiring rapid action and prompt delivery and which must be delivered before routine traffic.

Immediate: A precedence designator restricted to telegrams of such urgency as to require immediate attention or action during normal duty hours.

Night Action (NIACT) Immediate: A precedence designator indicating the telegram needs immediate attention or action by the addressee regardless of the time of day or night.

FLASH:  The highest precedence designation reserved for the most urgent telegrams containing information vitally effecting the conduct of foreign affairs and requiring immediate attention by the addressee regardless to the time of day or night. Hostile action is imminent.

So what’s the difference between NIACT and FLASH?  Hostile Action Imminent.  And the ability to forgo all other protocol like the need to populate the other BS fields. In the Balkans in the early 90s it also meant we got to drag the Laura Ashley and tennis shoe clad, politically correct, cubicle dwelling, grammar NAZIs who EOA(Equal Opportunity Action) their way to power out of the bed in the middle of the night.  The fact that we were getting shot at all the time gave us free licensee to enact some sophomoric revenge but that is a story for another time.  Most diplomats don’t send or see a single FLASH cable in their entire career. That’s enough background.  You get the picture.  Let’s talk about our FLASH CABLE.

Bottom Line Up Front: What to expect from FLASH CABLE

Flash Cable will be delivered by email only.  What you will get is clear, concise trading instructions that are unambiguous and easy to follow.  You can take the information from the email and plug it into your online account or read it verbatim to your broker.  We have now increased our staff so we have round the clock coverage of the world’s markets so we can react on a moments notice.  We have a watch list of securities that we track continuously and when they move into our target zone we will be able to react and send you the information in real time. We will tell you exactly what to do and when to do it.  These could be shorting opportunities or opportunities to buy shares that have sold off well beyond their intrinsic value. They may be a combination of both like the trade we recommended on Shipping Shares that netted subscribers over 500% but could have netted them much more if we could have sent out an immediate FLASH CABLE to close out the position between publication dates.  We have been testing our FLASH CABLE methodology prior to the launch with five friends who run hedge funds as our clients. In the last three months and our dry fire recommendations have returned double digit returns every week.  One of our trades is up 113% in two weeks.  Others have been less spectacular but on average our trading account is up between 17% and 21% a week.  Our average time in a trade has been just over two weeks. Some more some less.  Sure we have had losses but because of our trading strategy we keep those losses to a minimum while letting our winners ride.  Two of the funds we are sending our FLASH CABLES to have offered us contracts to provide the service exclusively to them.  But that is not for us.

What We Trade

We recognize that not all subscribers have accounts set up to trade the world.  Therefore, the majority of the trades we recommend will be shares in companies, ETFs, Funds and Bonds traded on the US exchanges.  There will be a few more exotic trading opportunities for those of you with access to the securities markets in London, Hong Kong, Australia, Germany, Singapore and Tokyo.  But for the most part you will be able to employ our strategy if you only trade shares listed on the NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX.  Here is an example from one of our dry fire exercises:

FLASH FLASH FLASH

DATE: 09  June 2009

ACTION: SELL SHORT Bronco Drilling at US $6.05 (NASDAQ: BRNC)

BACKGROUND:  Our industry insiders who work every day in the energy fields are convinced that oil supplies are building because the way the futures market is behaving incentivizes the purchase and storage of oil rather than contract it for future delivery.  So we called some friends in Zug Switzerland who are physical commodity traders and they confirmed they are buying at today’s prices and storing the oil.  Both groups think this will result in greater inventories and reduced demand for drilling in N. America.  Of all the drillers we follow Bronco seems the most vulnerable.  The shares have been on a tear since March without any fundamental change to the corporate prospects.  So we dug a bit deeper and by tracking down some recently laid off drill hands in a Louisiana bar, we learned that a good chunk of BRNCs recent revenue increases were from early termination penalties.  At $6.05 Bronco is over priced and any change in demand or supply data will likely send the shares lower.

Then on July the 2nd we sent out this alert:

FLASH FLASH FLASH

DATE: 02 July 2009

ACTION: COVER BRNC SHORTS AT THE MARKET TODAY

BACKGROUND:  The price action in BRNC has been as expected.  The shares are down to $4.10 from $6.50 when we entered the trade.  While the reasons we liked the trade still exist, the oil price is still gaining strength.  BRNC could start gaining ground from here so we are going to lock in profits. Those of you with greater risk tolerance or who can watch the markets all day can hang on a while longer but we are going to cover and move on to other opportunities with a tidy profit.

It should be noted that we neither called the top nor the bottom on this trade.  To expect that is not only unrealistic, it is dangerous in theses markets.  Our goal is to find opportunity and capitalize on them as best we can.  We might get lucky and catch a top and a bottom which on this trade would have been shorting BRNC at $6.48 and covering at $3.46.  But the idea is to find micro trends within these choppy and volatile markets and lock in profits without taking undue risk.

How We Do It

Well that is a hard question to answer.  Actually it is impossible.  The best we can do is tell you that we trade based on fundamentals and factual analysis.  Perhaps it is easier to tell you what we don’t do.  We don’t trade based on charts, moving averages, days over a certain threshold or any of the other “black box” or “technical analysis”.  While we may keep an eye on these things so we don’t run head on into a wave of automatic selling or buying going against us, we trade because we understand what is happening to a company and we never put on a trade unless we understand the rational behind it.

How Much?

We are really excited about this service.  We are confident it will make you money.  We have put the right people in place to bring you the best opportunities.  And we believe we have priced it initially at a price that will ensure you will pay for the service several times over if you follow our advice.  You can join FLASH CABLE today for one year for US $1599. Or you can dip your toe in the waters with the half-yearly payment option of $850, quarterly payment option for US $450 or the monthly option for $159.  Either way it is a great deal.  We know our friends in the Hedge Fund business are angry with us for doing this because they charge their clients between 1 and  2% of assets under management and 20% of the profits for providing pretty much the same service.  Granted you have to make the trades for yourself but we give you all the information based on our leg work and constant monitoring of the markets.  In fact, even as we write this we think maybe we priced it too low. If you invested US $ 100,000 with a hedge fund (the minimum investment) you would pay twice our price just to send them a check.  If they makes any profits then they would take 20% of the profits as well.   We believe we are providing access to the same caliber of service or better at a much better price.  In fact as we type we realize we probably under priced this service and we will likely increase the price in a month or two after all of our long time subscribers have had a chance to get in.  As with all our services if you don’t like what you get then you can cancel at any time.

By now you know if you want to be part of this special group or not.  Just click the link below to get started.  And as always, thanks for subscribing to Without Borders.

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